An economic expert has outlined potential scenarios for Iran’s post-war economic recovery, emphasizing the importance of consolidating the country’s sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz and securing compensation from aggressor nations. Hamidreza Jeyhani, speaking in an interview, highlighted these factors as critical to accelerating infrastructure reconstruction and achieving robust economic growth following the conflict.

Jeyhani noted that the outcome and timeline of the war remain uncertain, and therefore various scenarios must be considered for the post-war period. He identified the most favorable scenario as one in which Iran reinforces control over the strategic Strait of Hormuz and obtains reparations from the belligerent states responsible for the damage. According to the expert, such compensation would facilitate rapid and successful rebuilding of industries and infrastructure targeted during the war, in line with internationally recognized post-conflict reconstruction models.

Maintaining authority over the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint, is central to Iran’s economic and political recovery plans. Jeyhani stressed the need for effective management and control of this passage, viewing it as a critical component not only for national security but also for reshaping Iran’s economic relations internationally. He argued that controlling the strait would compel foreign partners to engage in trade and reconstruction efforts, even amid lingering sanctions, essentially rendering those sanctions ineffective.

The expert referred to a recent incident involving a French vessel transporting chemical fertilizer through the Strait of Hormuz, which prompted direct engagement between France and Iran. He suggested that such developments indicate a potential weakening of the international sanctions framework, paving the way for increased foreign investment and enhanced economic cooperation. Jeyhani added that Iran’s status as a military and security power within the Persian Gulf will further strengthen its position in global economic interactions.

Regarding economic growth, Jeyhani projected that with compensation secured and sovereignty over the strait consolidated, Iran could experience annual growth rates exceeding 6 to 8 percent. He framed this growth as a natural extension of the country’s regional influence and military standing.

In discussing inflation, which has surged due to recent conflicts, the expert advised that economic policy should prioritize restoring and increasing growth rather than focusing primarily on inflation control. He suggested government support through diverse financing mechanisms, including issuing bonds and utilizing resources from businesses and society, to provide economic relief and stimulate expansion. Jeyhani emphasized that sustaining economic growth is crucial to long-term recovery and stability in the post-war period.