Defense industry representatives have raised concerns over a U.S. government initiative to amass a strategic stockpile of critical minerals, warning that the plan could drive up prices and intensify competition for limited resources with private sector buyers.

The Aerospace Industries Association (AIA), which represents major contractors including Palantir Technologies and BAE Systems, urged caution in a report reflecting its members’ views released this week. The association highlighted risks that the U.S. Export-Import Bank’s $12 billion Project Vault, unveiled earlier this year, might distort markets by competing with industrial buyers amid already constrained global supplies.

Project Vault aims to create a domestic reserve of critical metals to support civilian industries during supply disruptions. This effort is part of a broader response to intensified international competition for essential resources and ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China. Beijing’s recent restrictions on exports of metals crucial to modern technology, such as tungsten and rare earth elements, have driven prices higher and heightened concerns over supply security.

The AIA cautioned that Project Vault’s procurement activities could exacerbate volatility and price increases in markets for these scarce materials, which are foundational to both civilian and defense manufacturing. Members called for clear details on how the initiative would operate to mitigate unintended consequences before purchases commence.

In response, the U.S. Export-Import Bank defended Project Vault as a “shock absorber” designed to shield American manufacturers from supply chain disruptions rather than compete against them. The Pentagon declined to comment on the project.

The urgency to secure critical minerals extends to defense procurement rules. Beginning January 1, the U.S. intends to prohibit defense contractors from sourcing rare earth magnets—a component vital to electric vehicles, fighter jets, and weapons—from China. The AIA warned that many companies would require waivers beyond the deadline due to limited alternative suppliers outside China.

Dak Hardwick, vice president of international affairs at AIA, described the potential enforcement of the ban without a waiver process as an “administrative bottleneck” that could impose significant challenges on the defense sector. He emphasized the necessity of ongoing waivers given the volume of components required and the current supply landscape. This contrasts with a July executive order by President Donald Trump that tightened restrictions on future waiver approvals.

The evolving competition for critical minerals highlights the difficulties faced by the U.S. as it seeks to balance strategic reserves, industrial demand, and geopolitical considerations in securing materials essential for national security and technological advancement. Meanwhile, international producers such as Spain’s Abenojar Tungsten have committed output to traders like Traxys, which will supply entities including Project Vault, further illustrating the complex global supply chain dynamics at play.