Britain faces a substantial increase in the costs associated with shutting down its North Sea oil and gas infrastructure, with new estimates placing the total at £54 billion, up from £36 billion in 2022. This rise comes amid accelerated decommissioning activities driven by policy changes and a shortage of specialised vessels required for the safe removal of offshore rigs.

The North Sea Transition Authority (NTSA), the regulator overseeing the sector, highlighted that the expanded financial burden is partly due to limited availability of heavy lift ships and rigs, which has increased operational expenses. The authority projects that £29 billion will be needed by 2032 to manage the dismantling of offshore assets. Additionally, the NTSA warned of a growing backlog of around 500 wells awaiting safe plugging, with more than 1,000 additional wells expected to enter the decommissioning pipeline within the next five years, necessitating a significant scaling up of activities.

This surge in decommissioning efforts is linked to recent policy measures, including an extension of the windfall tax and restrictions on new exploratory licenses under the previous Labour government's energy strategy. These factors have prompted some companies to exit the North Sea, accelerating field closures earlier than originally planned. Such moves increase the cost and complexity of the eventual clean-up and transferring those costs to the public sector.

Senior industry figures have expressed concern that this rapid exit could undermine the long-term economic value of the North Sea basin. Brian Gilvary, ex-BP executive and chairman of Ineos Energy, warned that these policies risk eroding national wealth by forcing companies to abandon UK waters. In line with this trend, BP announced in July plans to divest its North Sea holdings to focus on exploration elsewhere, under its new chief executive Meg O’Neill.

The financial impact on the government extends beyond the direct decommissioning costs. Tax rebates linked to companies claiming up to 45% of their decommissioning expenses against previous profits are expected to result in £12 billion to £15 billion in lost revenue, compounding the fiscal challenge.

Compounding the difficulties, competition from the burgeoning offshore wind sector has further strained the availability of heavy lift ships necessary for oil and gas decommissioning. A report from Offshore Energies UK noted that this cross-industry demand intensifies the shortage, driving up costs further.

Since assuming office, Prime Minister Andy Burnham has indicated a willingness to adopt a more “pragmatic” stance towards the oil and gas sector, signaling a potential shift in policy to address industry concerns. Meanwhile, the Department of Energy Security and Net Zero declined to provide a comment on the report.