European Union governments are accelerating efforts to finalize key legislation ahead of next year’s French presidential election, amid concerns that a victory by far-right candidate Marine Le Pen could significantly disrupt the bloc’s policy agenda.
Diplomats based in Brussels have indicated that France has urged its EU partners to expedite agreement on major items such as the EU’s seven-year budget framework and critical climate-related measures before April’s vote. Le Pen currently leads the race to succeed President Emmanuel Macron, prompting Paris to warn that delay could hinder the passage of essential legislation.
One EU diplomat said France is pushing for a deal by the end of this year, emphasizing that negotiations will stall if no accord is reached within that timeline. Another official added that Paris is motivated by a desire for Brussels to avoid appearing slow or ineffective in the run-up to the election. However, officials at the Élysée Palace denied these moves are election-driven, stating France’s actions align with broader European interests rather than electoral considerations.
Among the priorities to be settled, officials noted, is the EU budget, a key instrument that shapes the bloc’s strategic direction. Pending regulations include the planned phaseout of new internal combustion engine vehicles and reforms to the EU’s carbon trading system. Both initiatives face opposition from Le Pen’s Rassemblement National (RN), which is expected to seek significant rollbacks if it attains power.
According to one diplomat, failure to finalize the budget before year-end could lead to a prolonged impasse extending beyond 2027, effectively leaving the EU without an approved multiannual financial framework. Le Pen’s anticipated agenda includes reducing France’s budget contributions by half, opting out of major energy policy initiatives, and reclaiming national control over immigration and border management — a marked departure from Macron’s pro-European stance.
Le Pen has indicated that, while she no longer advocates withdrawing from the EU, she aims to reform the union by restoring greater sovereignty to member states and curbing what she describes as excessive Brussels interference in domestic affairs. This approach poses a direct challenge to the EU’s integration efforts and risks complicating consensus-building within the bloc.
The leader of RN, Jordan Bardella, cautioned the EU against finalizing budget deals before the French election, describing the process as “profoundly undemocratic.” The RN received 31 percent of votes in France’s 2024 European Parliament elections, outperforming Macron’s coalition, which obtained 15 percent.
Le Pen’s potential victory is only one variable in a broader context of influential elections scheduled next year across Spain, Poland, and Italy, which could similarly affect the EU’s policymaking. As one diplomat observed, the forthcoming electoral cycle poses a multifaceted challenge for Brussels, highlighting the fragile state of the European project.
