A former member of the United Nations Security Council sanctions panel on Iran has expressed skepticism about the possibility of reaching a comprehensive nuclear agreement with Tehran within a 60-day timeframe. The remarks come amid recent steps toward resolving tensions surrounding Iran’s nuclear program, including a newly agreed 14-point memorandum of understanding (MoU) between the United States and Iran aimed at reopening the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz.

Jonathan Brewer, who served on the sanctions panel during the 2015 negotiation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), acknowledged the original deal’s shortcomings, particularly its limited duration of constraints on Iran’s nuclear activities, which spanned 10 to 15 years. Nevertheless, Brewer described the JCPOA as the best achievable option at the time, noting the improbability of the Security Council approving further sanctions measures against Iran.

The current MoU addresses immediate concerns such as reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime chokepoint for global oil supplies, but leaves core issues related to Iran’s nuclear program unresolved. These matters are slated to be part of broader negotiations slated to conclude within 60 days, with the possibility of extension through mutual consent.

Brewer cautioned that concluding a detailed and lasting agreement on Iran’s nuclear activities within this condensed timeline appears unlikely, especially given the complexities involved. He further noted that while the context has shifted since the JCPOA negotiations—including damage to parts of Iran’s nuclear infrastructure—the underlying challenges remain substantial.

The JCPOA, which required nearly two years of negotiation, also faced significant obstacles, a factor Brewer highlighted in assessing current prospects. As diplomatic efforts continue, stakeholders confront the dual tasks of addressing Iran’s nuclear capabilities and maintaining regional security, with the potential for protracted talks ahead.