China has unveiled its first Five-Year Plan devoted solely to boosting domestic consumption, reflecting Beijing’s effort to recalibrate an economy traditionally reliant on exports and investment. Published on July 13, the plan outlines measures aimed at strengthening demand across a range of services and products, including culture, tourism, healthcare, and eldercare, while also promoting higher incomes and an improved social safety net.
A key feature of the plan is the integration of artificial intelligence with consumption, a concept referred to as “AI + Consumption.” Rather than limiting AI to productivity improvements, Chinese authorities are positioning it as a catalyst for consumer spending. The blueprint highlights the promotion of AI-enabled devices such as smartphones, computers, wearables, robots, and desktop 3D printers, alongside applications in smart homes, connected vehicles, healthcare, education, tourism, and digital entertainment, including virtual reality content.
This domestic consumption strategy complements broader ambitions announced by Chinese President Xi Jinping at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai on July 17. There, Xi emphasized the role of AI as an international public good, pledged support for other countries’ AI development efforts, and revealed plans to establish a World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization. While these initiatives aim to expand China’s global AI influence, the consumption plan focuses on cultivating a robust local market to sustain technological advancement.
China’s push toward domestic consumption emerges against a backdrop of overcapacity in key industries such as electric vehicles (EVs), batteries, robotics, semiconductors, and AI hardware. Despite rapid production growth supported by significant research and development investments and state subsidies, domestic demand has lagged behind supply. This imbalance has sparked intense price competition, shrinking profit margins, and an urgent search for overseas markets — often met with tariffs and anti-subsidy investigations from the United States and Europe.
By fostering AI-driven consumption within households, Beijing aims to absorb excess production domestically and reduce reliance on export markets facing mounting geopolitical and trade challenges. The plan encourages comprehensive integration of AI-powered appliances, security systems, and energy management within homes to create seamless “whole-house intelligence.” It also envisions smart vehicles interacting with upgraded power grids and digital infrastructure, broadening demand to semiconductors, sensors, cloud computing, and AI servers.
This approach extends recent efforts to stimulate consumption, such as a trade-in program launched in 2024 that subsidized new car, appliance, and electronic purchases. While those incentives led to short-term sales boosts, some economists argue they merely accelerated future demand rather than fostering sustained consumption growth. The “AI + Consumption” initiative appears to apply similar logic to a broader ecosystem of smart products.
However, analysts caution the plan may face challenges. The domestic market is not lacking in available AI-enabled or technologically advanced products—Chinese consumers already have access to competitively priced EVs, smartphones, and digital services. Intensified competition has pushed prices downward, squeezing manufacturers’ margins. Consumer hesitation stems more from economic concerns: property market declines, uncertain job prospects, and a limited social safety net continue to dampen household spending.
As a result, the success of Beijing’s strategy depends on whether AI can meaningfully enhance consumer confidence in addition to offering innovative products. Without resolving underlying economic uncertainties, expanding AI consumption alone may not be sufficient to drive a sustained increase in domestic demand or fully address the persistent “involution” hampering key sectors of China’s technology-driven economy.
