At Royal Ascot on Tuesday, several leading contenders are attracting attention based on recent performances and data-driven analysis ahead of key races.

Water To Wine is among the favorites for the King Edward VII Stakes following comfortable victories at Newbury and Kempton. Despite these wins, his recent clocking times have not been particularly impressive, and he faces a significant step up in competition. One notable rival is Causeway, who last prevailed at the Curragh with a Time Index of 9.9, indicating strong form and an expected benefit from the increased distance of today’s 1 mile 4 furlongs race.

In the concluding Palace Of Holyroodhouse Handicap over five furlongs, Jazl, trained by Simon and Ed Crisford, emerges as a noteworthy contender. Jazl’s prior successes at Windsor and Leicester, both over six furlongs, demonstrated notable speed. Most recently, he reached 20 mph in just 2.15 seconds and achieved a winning time 2.23 seconds faster than the RaceIq benchmark, suggesting that the stiffer five-furlong Ascot track should suit his sharp early pace.

The feature races of the afternoon—the Coronation Stakes and the Commonwealth Cup—appear to be dominated by strong favorites, according to RaceIQ data models.

Aidan O’Brien’s filly Precise is widely regarded as the runner to beat in the Coronation Stakes. Her emphatic victory in the Irish 1,000 Guineas last month featured a remarkable finishing effort, covering the final two furlongs in 23.21 seconds—at least half a second quicker than any of her rivals—marking the fourth occasion in her past five starts that she posted the highest Finishing Speed Percentage. This suggests she is primed to maintain her dominant form at Royal Ascot.

In the Commonwealth Cup, Venetian Sun, trained by Karl Burke, remains unbeaten over sprint distances and is favored to continue her winning streak. The daughter of Starman delivered an effortless performance in the Sandy Lane Stakes at Haydock last time. Her previous attempt at a mile in the 1,000 Guineas saw her fade in the final furlong, finishing with the 13th fastest closing speed, confirming her suitability over shorter trips and enhancing her prospects in today’s six-furlong contest.

As Royal Ascot progresses, these data-informed insights may prove valuable in assessing contenders’ chances, though racing always carries an element of uncertainty when competition intensifies.