The Democratic Party is undergoing a significant shift in its approach to Israel and the Palestinians, with internal debates reflecting evolving attitudes toward military aid and political engagement in the region. In 2024, the party platform highlighted President Joe Biden’s $14 billion military aid package to Israel, yet some Democratic presidential hopefuls for 2028 are signaling a willingness to reduce or eliminate such support, particularly among centrist factions, while progressives advocate for broader restrictions on arms sales.

Despite this reevaluation of U.S. support for Israel, there remains a notable absence in the party’s stance regarding Palestinian governance and political rights. Critics argue that Democrats have yet to fully address Palestinian political autonomy, often overlooking the necessity for Palestinians to elect representatives in fair and free elections.

Rahm Emanuel, a leading Democratic contender, recently acknowledged “corrupt Palestinian leadership” in a speech at Tel Aviv University but focused his message on encouraging Arab states to influence Palestinian authorities rather than advocating for Palestinian self-determination through electoral processes. This approach has drawn criticism for being patronizing and disconnected from Palestinian realities, as no leader can legitimately represent Palestinians without a direct electoral mandate.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas has ruled since declaring a state of emergency in 2007, following the last Palestinian parliamentary elections in 2006, which saw Hamas win a legislative majority. The aftermath saw the United States and Israel press Hamas to meet conditions including recognition of Israel and renouncing violence. Despite some negotiation efforts, Hamas’s refusal to fully comply led to a U.S.-unconfirmed plan to support Fatah opposition forces, which failed and resulted in Hamas controlling Gaza. Abbas subsequently consolidated power, suspending parliamentary functions and expanding autocratic control of both the Palestinian Authority and the Palestine Liberation Organization, sidelining other political factions.

Observers contend that this consolidation has created a leadership that is simultaneously weak, repressive, and reliant on external backing, undermining Palestinian representation. Abbas’s authoritarianism has been viewed as convenient for both the U.S. and Israel amid ongoing occupation concerns, as a democratically elected Palestinian government might be less cooperative with Israeli policies.

Under pressure from the European Union and the U.S., Abbas has committed to holding parliamentary elections in November and a presidential vote next year. However, concerns remain that Israel could hinder voting access, particularly in East Jerusalem, potentially giving Abbas grounds to cancel the elections, as occurred in 2021 when he cited such obstacles.

A key figure in Palestinian politics, Marwan Barghouti, currently imprisoned by Israel on charges related to attacks during the second intifada, remains a popular candidate. Polling from August by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research indicates Barghouti would lead any election by a substantial margin over Abbas and Hamas’s Khalil al-Hayya. Barghouti has expressed support for a peaceful two-state solution despite his conviction, which some international bodies have criticized for legal irregularities.

Critics within the Democratic Party urge their colleagues to actively support Palestinian elections and the release of Barghouti. They argue the U.S. must accept the prospect of Hamas participating in elections, either independently or as part of a coalition, to ensure democratic legitimacy and broad Palestinian representation. This position, while potentially unpopular among many Americans and Israel’s supporters—given Hamas’s record of violence and refusal to recognize Israel—is framed as necessary for credible electoral outcomes.

Supporters of this approach emphasize treating Israelis and Palestinians equally with respect to political self-determination and accountability. They propose that the U.S. should refrain from dictating electoral participation on either side and impose sanctions only in response to violations of international law.

The debate underscores a wider call within the Democratic Party for a more balanced and principled stance on Middle East policy, one that recognizes Palestinians’ right to govern themselves free from autocratic rule and external interference, particularly through the fundamental democratic mechanism of elections.