California’s proposed billionaire tax continues to stir division among state Democrats, with Governor Gavin Newsom opposing the plan while the California Democratic Party backs it. Recent polling suggests that a majority of likely voters remain skeptical of all three related ballot proposals.

A poll released Friday by the University of California Berkeley’s Institute of Governmental Studies found that 45% of likely voters support the billionaire tax, whereas 42% oppose it. The poll also indicated voter uncertainty surrounding the two competing ballot measures aimed at blocking the tax.

Alongside the billionaire tax debate, Proposition 39—which would require voters to show government-issued identification at the polls—has attracted significant attention and substantial fundraising on both sides. Opposition to the voter ID measure has raised $39.3 million, contrasted with the $15.6 million collected by supporters. According to the Berkeley poll, 52% of likely voters are against Proposition 39, while 39% support it and 9% remain undecided.

The political landscape in California is further shaped by the upcoming gubernatorial election, as Newsom is ineligible to run due to term limits. In the race to replace him, Democratic candidate Xavier Becerra, a former Biden Cabinet member, leads financially with $35.8 million raised. His Republican opponent, conservative strategist and television commentator Steve Hilton, has garnered $22.3 million. The poll shows Becerra maintaining a significant lead, supported by 58% of likely voters compared to Hilton’s 33%.

California Democrats outnumber Republicans by almost two to one, a dynamic that has influenced voter preferences for the governor’s race. While the billionaire tax remains contentious within the party, the split illustrates broader debates over taxation and voting policies in the state as voters approach the November ballot.