Preparations for national civil defence have reemerged as a significant concern amid escalating geopolitical tensions involving Russia. In Lithuania, the country currently conducting its largest civil defence and mobilisation exercise, authorities emphasize collective readiness through drills that include evacuation rehearsals and alert system tests. These exercises demonstrate a high level of public engagement and organisation in contrast to conditions in the United Kingdom, where civil defence infrastructure and planning rooted in the Cold War era have largely been dismantled.
In the UK, awareness of vulnerabilities has grown following recent public simulations of conflict scenarios involving Russia. A televised wargame exercise featured former politicians and officials confronting a hypothetical crisis beginning with a Russian incursion in British waters and escalating to the brink of nuclear confrontation. Participants were unsettled to discover deficiencies in UK air defence capabilities, notably a lack of ballistic missile defence, leaving the country heavily dependent on NATO allies. The simulation also highlighted potentially destabilizing public reactions during such an emergency, including panic-driven behaviours like looting and mass evacuations, which could hamper effective crisis management.
Commentators and officials note that the threat from Russia is no longer theoretical. Recent sabotage and cyberattacks across Europe target critical infrastructure such as aviation, political figures, and corporate networks. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has acknowledged, albeit indirectly, that Russia is conducting operations aimed at disrupting Ukraine’s Western supply chains. The broader strategic objective appears to be undermining public morale and weakening political resolve in Europe. This dynamic is evident in countries like Germany, where certain political factions frame these attacks as a consequence of opposition to Russia, potentially eroding domestic support for assistance to Ukraine.
Experts stress that enhancing national resilience requires more than physical stockpiling of emergency supplies such as food, water, and power sources. It demands comprehensive planning and coordination, including secure communication systems capable of functioning during power outages, robust cyber defences, and agreed protocols for temporary accommodation and community support. Human factors—such as mutual aid, clear emergency meeting points, and maintaining orderly responses—are considered critical components of effective crisis management.
Since 2023, initiatives like the Resilience Academy in Yorkshire have begun providing specialised training at various levels, from logistics to strategic crisis leadership. However, government commitment to such preparations remains inconsistent, with few senior ministers participating in classified exercises designed to test high-stakes decision-making under pressure. The limited pool of experienced crisis managers raises concerns about the nation's ability to navigate complex emergencies.
As tensions persist, this renewed focus on civil defence underscores the importance of equipping society and leadership with the necessary tools, plans, and training to respond effectively to evolving security challenges.
