The UK housing market showed signs of slowing in October, with house price growth dropping to its lowest annual rate in over two years, amid rising mortgage costs and economic uncertainty. Property prices increased by just 0.5 percent compared to the same month last year, marking a significant deceleration from the 0.8 percent annual growth recorded in September. On a monthly basis, prices remained flat.

The average property price across the UK stood at £273,566, according to data from Nationwide, one of the country’s largest mortgage lenders. The slowdown in price growth comes as the average cost of a five-year fixed-rate mortgage approached 6 percent for the first time in three years. Financial data firm Moneyfacts reported the average five-year fixed mortgage rate reached 5.99 percent as of Thursday.

Rising mortgage rates are largely attributed to heightened inflation concerns, which have been exacerbated by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Robert Gardner, chief economist at Nationwide, highlighted how these tensions have intensified expectations for future interest rate increases. He noted a notable decline in consumer sentiment during October, with households expressing growing unease about both the overall economic outlook and their personal financial prospects over the coming year.

The Bank of England has kept its key interest rate steady at 3.75 percent but faces increasing pressure from market observers who anticipate a potential rate hike soon. The Monetary Policy Committee is expected by some analysts to raise rates to 4 percent, marking the first increase in three years, as it seeks to manage inflationary pressures.

The combination of elevated borrowing costs and wavering consumer confidence is expected to contribute to further moderation in house price growth or even potential declines in the near term. This marks a shift from the robust property market conditions observed earlier in the year, reflecting the broader challenges faced by the UK economy as it navigates both domestic and international uncertainties.