Three white vans carrying five men were stopped near the Royal Air Force base in Fairford, southern England, in the early hours of September 27 amid concerns about a potential Iran-backed attack targeting U.S. military installations in Europe. The incident, which led to a temporary evacuation of 85 nearby homes, remains under investigation with authorities seeking to clarify the suspects’ intentions and the extent of any plot involving Iran.

The situation escalated shortly after midnight when one of the men inside the vans contacted emergency services, prompting a rapid response from armed police. The suspects were arrested on suspicion of terrorism but were released on bail within a day, a move that surprised some observers given the gravity of the initial allegations. Police later reported discovering gasoline but no explosives in the vehicles.

Intelligence gathered in the weeks preceding the arrests indicated heightened threats against U.S. bases, with RAF Fairford—a key site for American bomber deployment—named as a potential target. Western intelligence agencies, including those from the United States, Israel, and Germany, had issued warnings based on intercepted communications and informants suggesting Iranian Revolutionary Guards involvement. Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu acknowledged providing British counterparts with warnings of Iranian-sponsored attacks, though specifics were limited.

Amid the uncertainty, British authorities convened a national security meeting led by Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who stated there were “strong indications” of Iranian involvement, though details remained sparse. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi denied any Iranian role in the incident. Officials have described the arrested men as potentially unwitting participants or low-level criminals, with some intelligence assessments suggesting the initial emergency call by one suspect might have been intended to distract law enforcement, while others see it as a sign the men realized they had been implicated in a serious operation.

The episode underscored ongoing concerns about Iran’s approach to asymmetric warfare. MI5 Director General Ken McCallum has previously highlighted Iran’s use of criminal networks as proxies for attacks or intimidation within the U.K., often targeting dissidents or political opponents. Since Britain permitted U.S. aircraft to operate from Fairford against Iran earlier this year, there has been an uptick in incidents perceived to be linked to Iranian proxies, including attacks on Jewish community facilities in London.

Local residents, aware of increased security measures around the base, reported unusual activity in the days before the arrests, including sightings of masked individuals in nearby villages. Despite these observations and a publicized warning from Iran’s Revolutionary Guards in July that Western bases used against Iran would be considered legitimate targets, British authorities have stated that no conclusive evidence has emerged to confirm an imminent attack.

The investigation continues amid tightening security at RAF Fairford, where concrete barriers have been installed. In related developments, a dual British-Iranian citizen was recently arrested in London on suspicion of preparing terrorist acts but was also released on bail. British and Western officials have emphasized the complexity of such cases, noting that initial criminal activities can at times reveal broader threats linked to state-backed actors.