Treasurer Jim Chalmers has signaled reduced prospects for further cost-of-living relief ahead of the mid-year budget update in December, citing mounting budgetary pressures and widespread criticism of government spending. Despite these challenges, Chalmers confirmed that the government will maintain the existing $6 billion-a-year Goods and Services Tax (GST) redistribution arrangement with Western Australia, known as the No Worse Off Guarantee, which has been the subject of significant scrutiny.
Addressing the economic situation, Chalmers emphasized that the upcoming budget update would be managed as a “pretty tight ship” due to rising bond yields, which are increasing borrowing costs and creating “very substantial and intensifying pressure” on interest repayments. He highlighted that much of the current debt was accrued under the previous government, underscoring the constraints facing current fiscal policy.
Chalmers also mentioned the intent to introduce a “savings package” to help address budget challenges, although he did not provide specific details on measures or timing. His comments followed a difficult week marked by rising interest rates and inflation figures, which drew criticism from within his own party and from figures such as New South Wales Premier Chris Minns.
On the contentious GST arrangement with Western Australia, which redistributes funds to ensure the state’s revenue is not adversely affected by the tax system, Chalmers defended the payments as vital for ensuring equity across states. This position comes despite an August interim report from the government’s Productivity Commission labeling the deal a “costly mistake” amounting to $23 billion since 2018, and warning of unintended negative effects. The redistribution formula has also been criticized by other states, including New South Wales and Queensland, for perceived unfairness.
The Treasurer’s reluctance to revise the GST deal is contrasted by calls from opposition figures, notably shadow treasurer Tim Wilson, who accused Chalmers of mismanaging the economy and said that Australians were financially worse off under his stewardship.
Amid rising fuel prices triggered by renewed conflict in the Middle East—leading to petrol prices of around $2.37 per litre in capital cities and diesel up to $2.87—there have been renewed calls to reduce the fuel excise tax. Chalmers, however, reiterated that the government was not currently “considering or discussing” changes to the 53.6 cents per litre fuel excise, cautioning that any policy decisions must balance the pressures on households with broader economic and budgetary constraints, particularly against the backdrop of ongoing inflation challenges.
Chalmers is scheduled to travel to Japan for discussions at the inaugural Australia-Japan Finance Ministerial Dialogue, where economic cooperation and trade are expected to be key topics.
