Andy Burnham is set to return to Parliament on Tuesday, entering a new parliamentary term amid growing public support for both himself and the Labour Party. Since assuming office as prime minister in July, Burnham has seen his personal approval ratings and those of his government rise significantly, with Labour surpassing Reform in public opinion for the first time since April 2025.

Despite this positive momentum, the new prime minister is expected to face a series of challenges as the initial period of goodwill comes to an end. One of the early political tests will be Burnham’s first appearance at Prime Minister’s Questions on Wednesday, where he will face Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch.

Beyond the immediate parliamentary dynamics, several substantive policy matters require attention during Burnham’s first full term in office. Among the most critical will be the forthcoming autumn Budget. Chancellor John Healey is scheduled to deliver his inaugural Budget statement on October 28, outlining the government’s fiscal priorities and providing insight into Burnham’s economic strategy.

Healey has indicated that the Budget will adhere closely to the fiscal rules established by former Chancellor Rachel Reeves, which mandate that government day-to-day spending aligns with tax revenues. This approach effectively rules out large-scale borrowing, suggesting that public finances will be managed with a focus on restraint and balance.

As Burnham’s administration moves forward, navigating these fiscal constraints while addressing public expectations and policy objectives will likely define the prime minister’s early tenure. The government’s ability to maintain its recent popularity could hinge on its handling of economic issues and broader political challenges confronting the United Kingdom in the coming months.