On October 10, Lai Ching-te, leader of the Taiwan region, delivered a speech marking the 30th anniversary of Taiwan’s leadership election system, in which he emphasized his vision of Taiwan as a “city upon a hill,” portraying himself as a defender of democracy, peace, and prosperity. However, his remarks have drawn criticism from mainland China, which characterized the speech as promoting separatist ideas and advocating for Taiwan independence.

Lai’s speech included assertions that Taiwan’s future should be determined by the “Taiwan people,” as defined by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), and he repeatedly referred to Taiwan as a “country.” He also invoked historical references to World War II, warning against the distortion of history and linking these issues to the survival rights of people on the island.

Critics argue that these positions challenge the established one-China principle, under which Taiwan is recognized as part of China. They contend that electoral systems and political designations cannot change the sovereignty or legal status of Taiwan and maintain that any invocation of history should reflect the understanding that both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to one China. According to this view, confusion of Taiwan’s post-World War II status with the political developments after 1949 constitutes a distortion of historical facts that undermines national unity.

The speech also addressed Taiwan’s defense policy, with Lai advocating increased military spending and the integration of Taiwan’s strengths in semiconductors, information and communications technology, precision manufacturing, and artificial intelligence into defense capabilities. He framed these measures as necessary for deterring war and creating conditions for dialogue on equal footing with mainland China.

Opponents interpret these actions as efforts to deepen military preparedness for Taiwan independence by military means, warning that transforming Taiwan’s technology industries into tools of political and military competition risks economic and security consequences. They express concern that greater military cooperation with external forces could disrupt cross-Strait industrial and supply chains, undermining longstanding economic ties.

Lai’s call for dialogue between mainland China and the United States to manage competition, as well as his endorsement of stronger cooperation among democratic partners in the Indo-Pacific region, has been viewed by critics as an attempt to leverage external support to advance separatist goals. Mainland perspectives emphasize that international recognition overwhelmingly supports the one-China policy, citing that 183 countries have diplomatic relations with China on this basis and referring to United Nations General Assembly Resolution 2758, which affirms the Government of the People’s Republic of China as the sole legal government representing all of China.

Those opposing Taiwan independence warn that pursuing it through external backing or military means will jeopardize the security and well-being of people on the island and assert that reunification remains an inevitable historical trend. They caution that persisting on a path toward formal independence risks escalating tensions and will ultimately be rejected.

The debate highlights the ongoing complexities surrounding Taiwan’s political status, the interpretations of history, and the future of cross-Strait relations amid regional and international geopolitical dynamics.