Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, faces mounting pressure to resign if she fails to secure parliamentary approval for proposed reforms to indefinite leave to remain (ILR) rights, as tensions rise within the Labour Party and opposition Conservatives weigh in. The government is considering significant changes to immigration law, including extending the qualifying period for ILR from five years to potentially up to ten years for foreign workers.

The proposals have sparked internal dissent within Labour. Angela Rayner, the housing secretary, who previously criticised the idea of backdating such changes, recently expressed confidence in Mahmood’s ability to deliver a fair system that balances taxpayers’ interests with recognition of foreign workers’ contributions, especially those in public services. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Andy Burnham has indicated support for the principle that ILR should be a “right to be earned,” though he has stopped short of fully endorsing all aspects of Mahmood’s plans. Reports suggest Burnham is considering exempting care workers from the extended qualifying period. Energy Minister Miatta Fahnbulleh also appeared to question the reforms before retracting her comments.

On the other side of the aisle, Conservative figures have criticised the Labour government for losing control of immigration policy. Chris Philp, the shadow home secretary, accused Mahmood of conceding authority to the Labour left, led by Rayner, and warned that any dilution of the proposals in response to internal party pressure would render Mahmood’s position untenable. Philp claimed that the original plans could pass comfortably in parliament with Conservative votes, but cautioned that backtracking would cost taxpayers billions and constitute an affront to public trust.

In a letter to Mahmood, Philp offered conditional support, urging her to remain committed to the full scope of the reforms. He argued that failing to do so would undermine her leadership credibility. The Labour leadership, however, appears to be navigating a delicate balance between reforming immigration policy and managing party unity.

The controversy escalated last week when a scheduled meeting between Mahmood and the head of Unison, a public service union, was cancelled after Mahmood declined Unison’s proposal to include a migrant care worker in the discussions. This move was seen by some as indicative of the sensitivity surrounding the proposed changes, particularly regarding frontline workers who could be affected by longer periods before claiming ILR.

The government has been consulting on the reforms and has not yet finalised its position. Officials have indicated that decisions will be announced soon, though the outcome remains uncertain amid ongoing debates within both the Labour Party and the broader political landscape.