Australia’s leading polling firm, Pyxis Polling & Insights, will continue to conduct Newspoll, the nation's primary political survey, under an extended agreement with News Corp Australia through 2030. The partnership, renewed last week, ensures that Pyxis will remain responsible for delivering Newspoll results for at least another four years.
Newspoll has established a strong reputation for accuracy, correctly predicting outcomes at every state and federal election since 2019 within a margin of one percentage point in the two-party preferred vote. Notably, Pyxis was the only pollster to forecast the 2023 Indigenous voice referendum’s rejection across all six states, projecting a final vote split of approximately 60-40 against the proposal.
Campbell White, founder of Pyxis Polling & Insights, described Newspoll as Australia’s most influential political survey, emphasizing the firm’s commitment to unbiased data analysis rather than commentary. “With Newspoll our job is not to provide commentary. We let our numbers speak for themselves,” Dr. White said.
Michelle Gunn, editor-in-chief of The Australian, underscored Newspoll’s longstanding role in shaping political discourse in Australia. She noted that for over four decades, Newspoll has been closely monitored by political analysts and policymakers, often influencing the national conversation and even contributing to high-profile political outcomes. Gunn highlighted Pyxis’s accuracy by citing its early detection of a significant rise in One Nation’s primary vote earlier this year, surpassing the Coalition for the first time.
Dr. White acknowledged ongoing changes in the political environment, including the emergence of parties like One Nation and the distinct dynamics surrounding the Indigenous voice referendum. However, he maintained that these shifts do not alter the core principles of reliable polling. He stressed that the key to maintaining accuracy lies in rigorous methodology, particularly in ensuring that survey participants are representative of the Australian electorate.
“The biggest risk to polling now is insufficient effort to make sure real people are participating,” Dr. White said. Pyxis invests significant resources in verifying respondent authenticity to uphold the integrity of its data.
As the political landscape in Australia grows more complex, the continuation of Pyxis’s stewardship of Newspoll positions the survey to remain a crucial barometer of public opinion in shaping the country’s political future.
