Senior Republicans are expressing growing concern that former President Donald Trump’s unpopularity could undermine the party’s chances in the upcoming midterm elections. With just two months remaining before the November vote, Trump’s approval ratings have declined sharply, prompting unease among GOP lawmakers who fear association with him may hurt their prospects.
The internal tensions were on display ahead of the Republican midterm convention scheduled this week in Dallas. Some rank-and-file Republicans, including incumbents facing tight races, are opting to skip the event to avoid being linked directly to Trump’s controversial positions and rhetoric. GOP strategist Kevin Madden noted that many members face voter anxieties over inflation and affordability, issues Trump has tended to dismiss or downplay, creating a disconnect between party leadership and constituents.
Recent comments from Trump have exacerbated this divide. He has characterized the ongoing six-month conflict between the United States and Iran as “small potatoes,” a remark that drew sharp rebukes from Republicans in competitive districts. Mike Lawler, a GOP congressman from New York, described the war as a serious matter, emphasizing its economic impact on households and businesses. Trump has also rejected criticism over his support for AI data centers, making contentious statements linking opposition to these facilities with increased poverty and crime — positions that risk alienating some voters and local officials.
The Republican Party finds itself grappling with a complex challenge: while it has largely aligned with Trump’s agenda, his declining popularity places members in a difficult position. Former party official Doug Heye highlighted that Republicans often have little leverage over Trump’s comments or actions, describing the president as “his own favorite topic.” Despite frustrations, some GOP insiders argue the party remains united around Trump, viewing his presence as essential for driving voter turnout, particularly among base supporters.
Financial considerations add another layer to the party’s unease. Trump’s super PAC, Maga, has amassed over $400 million but has only recently begun allocating funds to support key candidates, including Republican Senate hopeful Ken Paxton. Some Republicans remain uncertain whether they will receive timely financial backing, as Trump’s campaign resources are reportedly reserved for loyalists.
Notable Republican lawmakers such as Zach Nunn of Iowa, David Valadao of California, and Tom Barrett of Michigan have announced they will not attend the Dallas convention, signaling a cautious approach to public association with Trump. Barrett cited a desire to focus on his local campaign rather than risk entanglement with the president’s unpredictable messaging.
Despite these challenges, party officials maintain that their strategy hinges on contrasting Democrats as ideologically extreme and energizing the Republican base through Trump’s continued campaigning. A GOP official acknowledged that while issues like Iran and AI centers pose obstacles, the convention and Trump’s involvement remain critical components of the party’s push to retain control of Congress.
White House representatives also underscore Trump’s influence within the party, describing him as the “unequivocal leader” capable of motivating key Republican voters. However, analysts caution that swing voters and independents often view Trump’s personal style and controversial remarks negatively, complicating Republican efforts to broaden their appeal beyond the party faithful.