Airfare for Thanksgiving flights in the United States is expected to see a significant increase this year, with prices rising approximately 31 percent compared to the previous year, according to data from the travel booking app Hopper. This marks the highest holiday travel costs in a decade, based on available data, reflecting a broader trend of rising airfare throughout the year.

The Consumer Price Index reported that airfares in August were about 24 percent higher than the same month last year, demonstrating that price increases extend beyond the holiday season. Several factors are contributing to this surge, including persistent inflation, rising labor costs, strong consumer demand, and increased jet fuel prices. The latter has been influenced by geopolitical tensions, notably the ongoing conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran since February.

Industry dynamics have also played a role. The shutdown of Spirit Airlines, a major ultra-low-cost carrier, in May removed a key competitor from the market, leading to higher prices on affected routes. Analysis by aviation analytics firm Cirium found that prices on former Spirit routes climbed between 5 to 6 percent in June compared to the previous year. On certain routes, such as Cleveland to Las Vegas, fares increased by more than 40 percent over that period.

David Krauter, CEO of the airfare tracking site Going.com, attributed the price climb to a combination of sustained travel demand and a limited increase in available seats. He noted that the disappearance of Spirit Airlines—which had exerted downward pressure on prices—further exacerbated the situation. “Any one of those would push fares up. All of them together is what travelers are paying for now,” Krauter said.

The convergence of rising operational costs, market consolidation, and strong consumer interest has thus contributed to the most expensive holiday travel season in years. Travelers planning flights for Thanksgiving may face notably higher fares than in 2023, reflecting these ongoing pressures within the airline industry.