The recent initial public offering (IPO) of SpaceX has sparked intense global demand, highlighting broader trends in international investment in American equities. Investors from countries including Australia, the United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, and Gulf states have shown heightened interest, despite some access restrictions, such as those placed on Chinese buyers by U.S. authorities. This surge reflects a growing foreign stake in U.S. markets, with non-American holdings of U.S. shares reaching approximately $22 trillion—more than triple the amount recorded in 2015.
The attraction to U.S. capital markets extends beyond SpaceX’s offering. Alphabet’s record $85 billion equity raise in early June, alongside potential upcoming raises from companies like Anthropic, Meta, and OpenAI, have pushed the expected total for U.S. public equity fundraising this year above $600 billion. The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) is cited as a key driver, but deeper factors also contribute, including the concentration of entrepreneurial talent and the fact that U.S. companies contribute just over half of global value creation. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the country’s markets as the “deepest, most dynamic,” while major financial firms highlight the scale and intensity of trading activity.
This reliance on U.S. markets represents a significant transformation in global finance. The traditional role of the U.S. as a safe haven has diminished amid rising debt levels and a shrinking premium on Treasury bonds compared to other secure assets. Simultaneously, rival payment networks are being developed in China and Europe as alternatives to the dollar-centric system. The world, excluding the U.S. and China, now holds nearly 40 percent of its public equity investments in U.S. shares, a rise from 25 percent a decade ago. Around 65 percent of global risk-taking equity raised this year, including public and venture capital markets, is expected to occur in the U.S.
While this concentration has generated substantial wealth—estimated at $13 trillion in profits since 2015 for non-U.S. investors—it also presents risks and strategic dilemmas. A significant U.S. stock market downturn could trigger disproportionate losses globally, with a severe crisis potentially impacting 10 percent of the GDP of non-U.S. countries. Additionally, the traditional neutrality of global finance has eroded. Restrictions on the export of advanced AI models and concerns about reliance on U.S. satellite technology for defense have intensified efforts by some nations to develop indigenous technological capabilities.
In response, countries are initiating major investment programs aimed at fostering local alternatives. Japan announced plans for a $2.3 trillion national investment targeting AI, semiconductors, and related sectors, while Canada seeks to mobilize $700 billion in new investments across energy, defense, and data industries. However, financing these efforts remains entangled with the dominance of U.S. capital markets, which currently allocate 70 percent of their global funds within the U.S., despite raising more than half of their capital internationally.
Some companies, like South Korea’s SK Hynix, are leveraging U.S. equity markets to fund domestic expansion, exemplified by a $29 billion equity raise aimed at bolstering home-based operations. Policymakers in Germany and Canada are also exploring strategies to reorient capital flows, emphasizing national pension funds as strategic assets to reduce dependence on U.S. markets. Japan’s government likewise may encourage its $1.8 trillion pension fund to invest more domestically.
The evolving global financial landscape poses challenges and opportunities. Effective management of these dynamics could reduce global dependence on American financial markets and foster diversified technological hubs. Conversely, missteps risk escalating economic tensions into financial conflicts, complicating efforts to balance autonomy with the benefits of participation in U.S.-led capital markets.
