The US oil industry has urged President Donald Trump not to impose a ban on diesel exports, cautioning that such a move would not solve the ongoing fuel price crisis and could have negative consequences both domestically and internationally. This appeal came in a letter sent on Wednesday by major energy trade groups, including the American Petroleum Institute, American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, and the American Exploration & Production Council, alongside broad business organizations such as the Business Roundtable, US Chamber of Commerce, and National Association of Manufacturers.

The letter emphasized that export restrictions could reduce fuel production, tighten supplies, and ultimately raise costs for American consumers, farmers, and truckers. Industry representatives warned against seeking a “silver bullet” solution, noting the complexity of the supply crunch driving diesel prices to record highs above $6.50 a gallon. These price surges have been attributed largely to disruptions caused by conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, which have collectively reduced roughly a tenth of global refining capacity.

President Trump had initially ruled out a diesel export ban as recently as Monday but changed stance on Tuesday, stating, “I have said let’s not send out the diesel,” and indicating he had directed administration officials to explore the possibility. Following these comments, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed that the administration was evaluating whether a full or partial export ban was feasible given the nation’s refining capacity.

However, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright promptly downplayed the notion of a ban, calling it a “blunt tool” unlikely to succeed. Wright emphasized efforts to work voluntarily with the oil industry to boost domestic diesel supplies without resorting to measures that might reduce refining throughput. He described the administration’s approach as focusing on the most efficient means to increase US diesel availability while maintaining steady flows of gasoline, jet fuel, and other products.

The debate over a diesel export ban has split opinions among key Republicans. While some lawmakers, particularly from agricultural states such as Senators Chuck Grassley of Iowa and Dan Sullivan of Alaska, have pressed for export restrictions to provide relief to farmers and freight operators burdened by high fuel costs, others like Senator Kevin Cramer of North Dakota oppose such measures.

Internationally, the prospect of a US export ban has raised concerns among European officials and energy market participants. The European Commission expressed “concern” about potential disruptions given that US diesel exports account for about one-third of Europe’s imports this year. An export suspension could exacerbate existing supply shortages resulting from damaged refineries in the Middle East and Russia, potentially pushing European diesel prices even higher. Markets responded to Trump’s comments with an initial 7% jump in European diesel prices before easing after Wright’s reassurances.

Despite fears of heightened costs, experts suggest that Europe’s strong domestic refining capacity and fuel reserves may prevent outright shortages at service stations, though price spikes on wholesale markets could still occur. UK officials stressed that the country’s fuel supply remains resilient and that engagement with international partners continues.

As fuel prices have become a politically sensitive issue ahead of November’s US midterm elections, the Trump administration faces a challenging balancing act amid divided internal views and strong industry opposition. While a diesel export ban may offer short-term price relief domestically, officials and industry leaders warn it could cause long-term disruptions to global markets and domestic fuel production. Currently, no formal decision has been made, with administration officials continuing discussions on voluntary industry cooperation as an alternative to an outright export restriction.